Latest Gallup Poll: McCain 48%, Obama 43% - The Intrepid

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Latest Gallup Poll: McCain 48%, Obama 43%


The U.S. is facing the worst economic crisis since the 1970s, American soft power is non-existent, and George Bush’s approval rating is barely 30%. Obama and the Democrats should win this election just by virtue of showing up. So why is McCain leading in the polls?

Part of McCain’s lead is due in part to the interested generated by Palin at the Convention. Conservatives in America are recharged. Although skittish about McCain’s conservative credentials, grassroots Republicans are pleased with Palin’s positions on abortion, guns, and energy.

Republicans have also deluded themselves into believing they have somehow moved beyond Bush and the GOP of yesterday, despite the fact that the majority of the policies that the McCain campaign supports are identical to those of the Bush Administration. Before the election, when McCain wasn’t courting Republican hardliners he was a maverick, but not anymore.

Whether the McCain campaign can build upon recent success is open to debate. If the McCain campaign can energize grassroots Republicans like Bush did in 2000 and 2004 the election in November is going to be a close one.

As it stands, Obama’s battle tested organization is stronger than McCain’s. Obama also benefits from the timing of the election. If the election took place in July, Obama would probably not be able to count on the millions of pro-Obama University students that are pre-organized by the academic calendar and campus lifestyle.

2 comments:

Mmm said...

"Republicans have also deluded themselves into believing they have somehow moved beyond Bush and the GOP of yesterday, despite the fact that the majority of the policies that the McCain campaign supports are identical to those of the Bush Administration. "

--and conversely, Democrat delude themselves into thinking Obama will bring about any real change and reach across the aisle for "one American" when, in fact, his legislative record is 100% in the Democratic camp, voting consistently the party ticket. His record indicate 0% change from Part establishment policies. At least McCain has not only voted an apparent 10% of the time not in line with standard GOP policy but has even authored legislation in that line. THAt, my friend, is real reform.

Intrepid said...

McCain was a maverick, and a rather exemplary reformer, but not anymore. For instance, where he once rejected the Bush tax cuts and supported Roe V. Wade, during the campaign he has flipped positions and now supports the Bush tax cuts and is against Roe V. Wade. While politicians often campaign on issues they disagree with to win votes, the McCain of 2008 is not the McCain of 2000. Whether a McCain administration would govern based his campaign rhetoric or his old beliefs is debatable.

In terms of his voting record, McCain has voted with the Bush Administration 95% of the time. See Factcheck.org: http://www.factcheck.org/askfactcheck/is_it_true_that_even_though_john.html

The Democrats are not the establishment. They have only controlled Congress for 2 of Bush’s 8 years in office, and the Senate (technically) for 4 years. The Bush administration and the Republicans are the establishment. By voting with the Democratic Party, Obama is voting to change the policies of the establishment.